Can results-based prizes to private sector incentivize technology adoption by farmers? Evidence from the AgResults Nigeria project that uses prizes to incentivize adoption of AflasafeTM

Table 1 AgResults Nigeria’s impact on smallholder outcomes

Outcome	Regression-adjusted treatment mean (A)	Comparison mean (B)	Impact on smallholders in villages engaged by competitors (C = A − B)	Significance (p-value)^a
Uptake
Percentage of smallholders who applied Aflasafe on at least one maize plot	57%	1%	56***	0.000
Percentage of maize area where Aflasafe was applied^a	44%	1%	43***	0.000
Total area where Aflasafe was applied (ha)	1.2	0.02	1.2***	0.000
Percentage of maize area where Aflasafe was applied correctly^a	7%	0.3%	6***	0.000
Had heard of Aflasafe
Farmer	73%	6%	67***	0.000
Cook^b	29%	0.3%	29***	0.000
Knew how Aflasafe works
Farmer	25%	3%	22***	0.000
Cook	10%	0.3%	9***	0.000
Knew what aflatoxins are
Farmer	23%	1%	22***	0.000
Cook	8%	0%	8***	0.000
Knew the health risks of aflatoxins
Farmer	23%	1%	22***	0.000
Cook	6%	0%	6***	0.000
Smallholder returns
Net maize income (US$)^b	2305	1987	318***	0.007
Maize yield (MT/ha)	2.8	2.7	0.1	0.711
Maize price (US$/MT)	428	407	22*	0.090
Maize sales (US$)	1348	1033	315**	0.018
Maize sales (MT)	3.7	2.7	0.9***	0.001
Amount set aside for other uses (MT)	3.5	3.7	− 0.2	0.472
Input costs (US$)	521	546	− 25	0.407
Cultivated area under maize (ha)	3.4	3.1	0.3	0.238

Standard errors are cluster robust, computed using Stata SVY routines
Data: smallholder survey, March–May 2017
Sample sizes: treatment group N = 944, Comparison group N = 879
*p < 0.1
**p < 0.05
***p < 0.01
^aImpacts in percentage points for outcomes expressed as percentages
^bCooks are typically female household members responsible for cooking food. They were asked if they had heard of Aflasafe, while farmers were asked if they knew what Aflasafe is

ISSN: 2048-7010