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Table 3 Sensitivity of results to changes in key parameters

From: Impact and returns on investment of mungbean research and development in Myanmar

Scenario (baseline values in brackets)

Economic gain (USD billion)

NPV (USD billion)

IRR (%)

Benefit–cost ratio

Baseline

1.4

1.7

26.7

91.5

Supply elasticity (0.44)

 0.22

3.4

4.2

31.5

222.3

 0.32

2.1

2.6

28.9

139.1

 0.50

1.2

1.5

25.8

77.0

 0.70

0.7

0.9

23.3

48.0

Demand elasticity (0.00)

 0.20

1.4

1.7

26.7

92.2

 0.40

1.4

1.8

26.7

92.9

 0.60

1.4

1.8

26.8

93.5

Discount rate (5.0%)

 3.0%

1.4

1.6

26.7

142.7

 10.0%

1.4

2.2

26.7

30.5

  1. All values in 2016 USD
  2. NPV net present value, IRR internal rate of return