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Table 3 Projections of extreme weather events and their impacts.

From: Climate change and potential impacts on agriculture in Bhutan: a discussion of pertinent issues

Sl. no.

Extreme weather events

Likelihood of further changes

Relevance for Bhutan

1

Fewer days of warmer cold days and nights over most areas

Likely to virtually certain

Could change crop phenology and yield

2

Warmer and/or more frequent hot days and nights over most areas

Likely to virtually certain

Could directly affect crop yield and water productivity

3

Heavy precipitation events (increased frequency, intensity, amount)

Likely to very likely

Could lead to increased flash floods, erosion and crop loss

4

Increases in intensity and duration of drought

Likely

Will have direct effect on crop yield

5

Increases in intense tropical cyclone activity

Likely

Increased crop damages/loss