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Table 5 Estimated model results for weather index insurance preferences

From: Small farmers’ preferences for weather index insurance: insights from Kenya

Variables

Model (1)

 

Model (2)

 

Model (3)

 

Mean parameters

ASC (1 = no insurance)

− 7.54***

(1.72)

− 9.53***

(2.46)

4.25

(3.93)

Premium rate (%)

− 5.39***

(2.01)

− 5.26***

(1.86)

− 5.50***

(1.86)

Strike level

 − 20%

− 0.16

(0.11)

− 0.16

(0.11)

− 0.15

(0.11)

 − 40%

− 0.44***

(0.11)

− 0.43***

(0.11)

− 0.45***

(0.12)

 ± 10%

− 0.01

(0.10)

− 0.01

(0.10)

− 0.01

(0.10)

 ± 20%

0.18*

(0.10)

0.17*

(0.10)

0.17*

(0.10)

 ± 40%

0.20*

(0.11)

0.19*

(0.11)

0.21*

(0.11)

Transparency (1 = weekly texts)

0.85***

(0.08)

0.86***

(0.08)

0.86***

(0.08)

Distance to station

 50 km

− 0.27***

(0.07)

− 0.26***

(0.07)

− 0.27***

(0.07)

 20 km

0.08

(0.06)

0.07

(0.07)

0.08

(0.06)

Contracted party

 Small group

0.25***

(0.08)

0.26***

(0.08)

0.25***

(0.08)

 Large group

− 0.33***

(0.09)

− 0.33***

(0.09)

− 0.33***

(0.09)

WII2014 × ASC

  

− 1.23

(1.51)

  

WII2013 × ASC

  

− 1.89

(1.60)

  

WIIbefore × ASC

  

2.67*

(1.49)

  

Satisfaction (scale: 1–5) × ASC

    

− 2.15*

(1.12)

Risk-attitude (scale:1–10) × ASC

    

− 0.51***

(0.20)

Received WII training × ASC

    

− 3.22**

(1.54)

Education × ASC

    

0.0004

(0.13)

Female × Education × ASC

    

0.30**

(0.12)

Group membership × ASC

    

− 2.64**

(1.25)

Off-farm occupation × ASC

    

− 2.61

(3.21)

Larger farm(1 = if \(\ge \bar{x}\)) × ASC

    

1.93*

(1.14)

Std. deviation parameters

ASC

3.76***

(0.88)

5.03***

(1.32)

3.66***

(0.95)

Premium rate (%)

4.29***

(0.83)

0.20

(0.31)

0.16

(0.37)

Strike level

 − 20%

0.15

(0.37)

0.39

(0.25)

0.42*

(0.23)

 − 40%

0.38

(0.24)

0.05

(0.25)

0.04

(0.25)

 ± 10%

0.07

(0.24)

0.21

(0.21)

0.10

(0.25)

 ± 20%

0.13

(0.24)

0.09

(0.38)

0.13

(0.26)

 ± 40%

0.15

(0.25)

0.62***

(0.09)

0.60***

(0.09)

Transparency (1 = weekly texts)

0.60***

(0.09)

0.45***

(0.11)

0.49***

(0.11)

Distance to station

 50 km

0.48***

(0.11)

0.30**

(0.13)

0.24

(0.17)

 20 km

0.22

(0.16)

0.79***

(0.12)

0.81***

(0.12)

Contracted party

 Small group

0.78***

(0.12)

1.04***

(0.13)

1.03***

(0.12)

 Large group

1.00***

(0.12)

4.33***

(0.79)

4.33***

(0.83)

Log likelihood

− 1490.76

 

− 1489.72

 

− 1474.11

 

Chi-squared

279.12***

 

278.75***

 

240.55***

 
  1. The number of observations in all three models is 6176. Coefficient estimates are shown with standard errors in parenthesis. The reference values for the effects-coded contract attributes are − 10% strike level, no text message, 5 km distance, and individual contract
  2. ***, **, * indicate statistically significant at the 1, 5, and 10% level, respectively