Drivers of rice production: evidence from five Sub-Saharan African countries

Nasrin, Sultana; Bergman Lodin, Johanna; Jirström, Magnus; Holmquist, Björn; Andersson Djurfeldt, Agnes; Djurfeldt, Göran

doi:10.1186/s40066-015-0032-6

Agriculture & Food Security

Table 7 Modelling rice production an d production change over time

From: Drivers of rice production: evidence from five Sub-Saharan African countries

Variable groups	Variables	Production models						Production change model
		Model 1			Model 2			Model 3
		Period 1 (p ₁): t₀ to t₁			Period 1 + 2 (p ₁₊₂): t₀ to t₂			Period 2 (p ₂): t₁ to t₂
		B	Std. Error	Sig.	B	Std. Error	Sig.	B	Std. Error	Sig.
	(Constant)	−2.83	3.33		−34.89	33.08		1.04	1.77
Controls	Age of farm under present management in 2002, logged	0.03	0.05		−0.05	0.06		−0.03	0.07
Controls	Descendant households, dummy	−0.45	0.24		0.34	0.30		0.45	0.34
Area	Area under rice, logged (ha)	0.63	0.06	***	0.68	0.08	***	0.49	0.07	***
Rice variety	Used improved variety in 2002, dummy	−0.01	0.11
	Used improved variety in 2008, dummy				0.01	0.13
	Always used improved rice variety during the period							0.12	0.21
	Stopped using improved rice variety during the period							0.36	0.20
	Started using improved rice variety during the period							0.01	0.15
Land type	Always used lowland during the period	0.02	0.11		−0.07	0.13		−0.08	0.16
	Stopped using lowland during the period	0.35	0.28		0.01	0.17		0.01	0.19
	Started using lowland during the period	−0.41	0.33		−0.12	0.19		0.01	0.22
Fertilizer	Always used fertilizer during the period	0.49	0.14	***	−0.28	0.18		−0.31	0.20
	Stopped using fertilizer during the period	−0.03	0.16		−0.06	0.22		−0.44	0.32
	Started using fertilizer during the period	0.48	0.17	**	0.08	0.17		0.13	0.18
Ploughing	Always used plough during the period	0.41	0.16	*	0.39	0.21		0.23	0.20
	Stopped using plough during the period	0.07	0.32		0.30	0.25		−0.28	0.21
	Started using plough during the period	0.03	0.15		0.31	0.17		0.23	0.21
Commercialization	Always sold rice during the period	0.45	0.09	***	0.48	0.12	***	0.40	0.13	**
	Stopped or decreased selling rice during the period	0.03	0.14		0.12	0.20		−0.82	0.16	***
	Started or increased selling rice during the period	0.37	0.10	***	0.39	0.15	*	0.48	0.18	**
Macro-level variables	Share of state budget for agriculture during the period, logged	0.25	0.22		2.57	2.28		1.99	1.20
	Import of rice in relation to gross domestic production during the period, logged	−0.43	0.17	*	−1.33	0.94		−2.50	1.67
	GDP per capita during the period, logged	1.45	0.54	**	6.08	4.86		−5.09	7.49
Distributional dimensions	Elite membership, dummy	0.36	0.17	*	0.04	0.20		0.01	0.17
Distributional dimensions	Gender of farm manager in 2002, dummy	−0.02	0.11		−0.12	0.14		0.07	0.15
Weather	Drought in Eastern and Southern Africa 2002, dummy	−0.35	0.24
Weather	Floods in West Africa 2008, dummy				−0.89	0.43	*
Model info	No. of cases	284			297			297
Model info	Missing (%)	10			6			6

*, ** and *** To denote test results significant at 5, 1 and 0.1 % levels

Back to article page

ISSN: 2048-7010

Contact us

Submission enquiries: sathish.venkatesan@springernature.com
General enquiries: info@biomedcentral.com